Результаты поиска по запросу "538 senate forecast 2016":

  1. 2016 Senate Forecast | FiveThirtyEight

    • We’re forecasting the Senate elections with three models. Polls-plus forecast. What polls, the economy and historical data tell us about Nov.
    • In each simulation of the Senate elections, we forecast the winner of all 34 races and note the resulting number of seats that would be held by the...


  2. The 2016 Senate Forecast | 538 Refugee // Aug 29, 2016 at 3:48 pm

    • I will explain PEC’s Senate model. It uses the same math as the Presidential forecast, and consists of three steps: Taking a snapshot of current Senate
    • I think 538 just over-hedges, going all the way back to 2008. Their assumptions about uncertainty work pretty well for midterms but not so much for...


  3. 2018 House Forecast | FiveThirtyEight

    • Senate forecast.
    • Keep it simple, please — give me the best forecast you can based on what local and national polls say. Classic. I’ll take the polls, plus all the “fundamentals”: fundraising, past voting in the district, historical trends and more.


  4. 2018 Senate Election Interactive Map

    • 2016 Presidential Election Results. 2016 Polls (Averages & Detail). Most Recent Polls. Historical Elections. Simulation.
    • This 3-part Senate map lets you view the current Senate, make a forecast for the 2018 Senate elections, and see the composition of the 2019 Senate based on those predictions.


  5. The Upshot’s Senate election forecast for 2016, updated daily with the latest polls.

    • 2016 Senate Election Forecast. By JOSH KATZ UPDATED November 8, 2016.
    • Other forecasts ↘. Rolling the dice ↘. The Upshot’s elections model suggests that the Democrats are slight favorites to win the Senate, based on the latest state and national polls.


  6. Live Forecast: Who Will Win the Senate? - The New York Times

    • Live estimates of Senate control and seats by party, most likely starting around 7:30 p.m. or 8 p.m. Eastern time.
    • Senate composition. The estimates for each race are based on the votes reported so far, how those places have voted in previous elections and the results of demographically similar...


  7. 2018 Senate Election Forecast Maps

    • 2018 Senate Election Forecasts. These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections.
    • This is a Senate forecast map derived from the probabilities associated with the FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast (Classic Version).


  8. 2018 Senate Forecast | FiveThirtyEight

    • # Our forecast for every Senate seat. The chance of winning for each candidate in the 35 Senate elections taking place in 2018, as well as the controlling party for the 65 seats not on the ballot this cycle.


  9. Live Senate Forecast – Election Results 2016 – The New York Times

    • Forecast. Jump to a race Alaska Alabama Arkansas Arizona Colorado Connecticut Florida Georgia Hawaii Iowa Idaho Illinois Indiana Kansas Kentucky Maryland Missouri North Carolina North Dakota New Hampshire Nevada New York Ohio Oklahoma Oregon
    • Senate composition. 48 Dem. Forecast.


  10. 2016 Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight | # It’s all about the 538 Electoral College votes

    • Nate Silver's predictions and polling data for the 2016 presidential election between Hillary Clinton
    • FiveThirtyEight’s forecast for the Pennsylvania Senate race between Pat Toomey and Katie McGinty ».
    • How this forecast works. Nate Silver explains the methodology behind our 2016 general election...