The Polls Weren't Great. But That's Pretty Normal. | FiveThirtyEight

11 нояб. 2020 г. ... The polls aren't getting more inaccurate ... *The 2020 result reflects Biden's projected margin once all votes are counted. FiveThirtyEight's ...

538 — Election Polls, Politics, and Analysis - ABC News

538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about ... What I got wrong in 2023. Senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich looks ...

FiveThirtyEight - Wikipedia

538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the ...

Who Won The Third Republican Debate? | FiveThirtyEight

9 нояб. 2023 г. ... Our post-debate poll also asked debate watchers whether the debate did a good or a bad job covering some of these issues. It found that viewers ...

Nate Silver on Twitter: "National polls will wind up being **more accurate** ...

Politics – FiveThirtyEight

2016 Election Forecast | FiveThirtyEight

Nate Silver's predictions and polling data for the 2016 presidential election between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.

What's Wrong With 538? | HuffPost Latest News

7 нояб. 2016 г. ... 538's probability of a Clinton or Trump victory relies on the results of at least 20,000 model runs each time a new poll (or set of polls) comes ...

What’s Wrong With 538? | HuffPost

The Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022 | FiveThirtyEight

10 мар. 2023 г. ... But that assumption was wrong: For 2021-22, polls had a weighted-average bias of just D+0.8. Polling bias is pretty unpredictable from election ...

How Popular Is Joe Biden? | FiveThirtyEight

3 дня назад ... Latest polls on President Joe Biden's approval ratings.

538 Debunks the Poll Bias Claim | Ed Brayton | Dispatches From the Culture Wars

Nate Silver Is Unskewing Polls -- All Of Them -- In Trump's Direction | HuffP...

Election Update: Democrats Need A Systematic Polling Error To Win The Senate ...

The Polls Missed Trump. We Asked Pollsters Why. | FiveThirtyEight

The Polls Are All Right | FiveThirtyEight | Election polls sometimes get the ...

Where Democrats And Republicans Differ On Gun Control ...

7 июн. 2022 г. ... How Democrats and Republicans have responded to polls on gun ... Pitch FiveThirtyEight · Advertise With Us · About Nielsen Measurement.

How did everyone get it so wrong? - POLITICO

9 нояб. 2016 г. ... Polls and predictive models failed to predict Trump's strength ... Headed into Election Day, polling evangelist Nate Silver's 538 website put ...

Why FiveThirtyEight Gave Trump A Better Chance Than Almost Anyone Else | Five...

How did everyone get it so wrong? - POLITICO | Polls and predictive models fa...